Monday, July 06, 2009

Monday Morning Market Comments and Links (for traders)

MORNING MARKET COMMENTARY
for Monday, July 6, 2009
Dow & S&P 500 Are Back in Negative Territory For 2009

The major averages got smacked on Thursday after the Labor Department announced a weaker-than-expected jobs report for June. Volume totals were reported lighter on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange as the holiday-shortened week came to a close. Decliners trumped advancers by nearly a 4-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 5-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq exchange.

The Bank Index ($BKX -3.01%) has slumped under its 50-day moving average (DMA) line in recent weeks. Since financial shares are a valuable leading indicator, any breach of recent chart lows would raise concerns and hurt the near-term market outlook. On the other hand, any subsequent rally above the 200 DMA line (the red line) would be a very encouraging sign for all investors with market interest.

Two articles caught my attention these past few days. The first describes how FNM and FRE are starting to provide 125% mortgage loans. Isn’t this type of activity what got us in trouble in the first place? The next is an amusing expose from the WSJ (subscription required) outlining the inner workings of our friends at the Federal Reserve. You can see clearly from it who’s running the show there and on Wall Street.

The Nasdaq is up 11.9% year to date, while the Dow is down 8.05%. Since 1972 (when the Nasdaq was started), this is the second biggest outperformance for the Nasdaq versus the Dow in the first half of the year. In the four biggest years of underperformance (2001, 1973, 1974, and 2002), both indices continued lower by quite a bit in the second half.


How Different Investments Did Last Week

Media Digest 7/6/2009 Reuters, WSJ, NYTimes, Barron's from 24/7 Wall St.

The Trend Trader for Monday, July 6th

Sector Update for July 6th from Dr. Brett

Wall Street Breakfast What you need to know in early trading today.

7 Stocks You Need to Know for Monday TradingMarkets.com

Stocks in focus for Monday Marketwatch

Bloomberg Futures

International real-time economic calendar

I don't make jokes. I just watch the government and report the facts. -- Will Rogers